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Home Business Insights

Moody’s: Asian Liquidity Stress Indicator drops for the first time in eight months

FutureCFO Editors by FutureCFO Editors
July 10, 2020
return on invested capital

Photo by Mykyta Dolmatov on iStock

Moody's Investors Service said recently that its Asian Liquidity Stress Indicator (ALSI) decreased to 39.7% in June from 40.7% in May, primarily reflecting improved liquidity at a Chinese property company and a slight change in the number of high-yield companies assessed.

The ALSI measures the percentage of high-yield companies with Moody's weakest speculative-grade liquidity score of SGL-4 as a proportion of high-yield corporate family ratings, said Moody’s, adding that the indicator increases when speculative-grade liquidity deteriorates.

"The coronavirus-induced economic slowdown continues to weigh heavily on credit fundamentals, with lower cash flows and higher refinancing risks driving weak liquidity for 58 of our 146 rated high-yield corporates in June, compared to 59 of 145 companies in May," said Annalisa Di Chiara, a Moody's Senior Vice President.

The North Asian sub-indicator decreased to 33.7% in June from 35.0% in May, primarily driven by the improving liquidity of a China-based property company and the addition of another one with good liquidity, the credit rating agency pointed out. 

Meanwhile the South & Southeast Asian sub-indicator remained at 54.8% after six consecutive months of increase, according to Moody’s.

In addition, high-yield issuance picked up in June as China-based property companies tapped the US dollar bond markets, with seven Moody's-rated bond deals closing for a total of USD2.2 billion, said the company. 

This indicates improving market access for some high-yield companies, following zero issuance in April and May, the company added.

At the same time, negative bias— those ratings with a negative outlook or on review for downgrade — continued to rise reaching 41.1% in June, the highest level since April 2012, Moody’s observed. 

This reflects credit quality pressures stemming from weakening global economic conditions. Downgrades also continued but at a slower pace, Moody’s noted.

Related:  Defaults among Asia Pacific high-yield nonfinancial firms stay elevated
Tags: liquidity stressMoody's
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