Agentic commerce is set to generate US$1.5 trillion globally by 2030, developing into an important access channel.
This is the findings of a recent study by Juniper Research, revealing that agentic commerce spend will grow from only pilot deployments in 2025 and 2026.
It should be taken note, though, that agentic commerce is not expected to replace traditional eCommerce checkouts for the foreseeable future.
The research found that despite strong predicted growth, trust will remain the number one barrier to agentic commerce deployment.
As part of the study, Juniper Research also released its 2026 Competitor Leaderboard for Agentic Commerce Payments Infrastructure Providers, with the three leading payment vendors were identified as:
- Mastercard
- Visa
- Stripe
Furthermore, Juniper Research said a limiting factor to agentic commerce is the highly fragmented payments market, with many different local payment methods.
Because of this, payment service providers face a major challenge in integrating the right methods, but also comes with a major opportunity to capture early market share if they get this mix right.
